Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.391253 3.597302 3.816226 4.067337 4.348915 4.656715 5.021120
2024-10-27 3.025922 3.288033 3.578943 3.929214 4.344333 4.827023 5.440711
2024-11-03 2.879914 3.198513 3.566675 4.031134 4.613078 5.335446 6.330584
2024-11-10 2.782611 3.153172 3.597861 4.184892 4.963191 5.999395 7.564644
2024-11-17 2.600969 2.989575 3.468752 4.122971 5.029034 6.305852 8.395129
2024-11-24 2.431104 2.826886 3.325948 4.026966 5.035477 6.531965 9.177375
2024-12-01 2.296577 2.699048 3.217195 3.964939 5.081414 6.827427 10.183104
2024-12-08 2.185598 2.593895 3.129780 3.923170 5.151522 7.177667 11.441551
2024-12-15 2.123414 2.548571 3.119200 3.990048 5.399374 7.888071 13.828850
2024-12-22 1.999654 2.412840 2.973353 3.841471 5.277734 7.905240 14.634912
2024-12-29 1.940760 2.362200 2.944025 3.867592 5.454246 8.544259 17.599557
2025-01-05 1.868510 2.288879 2.876842 3.827671 5.509576 8.955123 20.340171
2025-01-12 1.774500 2.188301 2.775060 3.742950 5.510476 9.345714 24.086912
2025-01-19 1.679988 2.082331 2.658863 3.624657 5.433554 9.549396 27.737981
2025-01-26 1.644517 2.059048 2.665636 3.714140 5.784843 11.019302 44.712154
2025-02-02 1.620618 2.051043 2.695268 3.848040 6.267990 13.251810 105.335148
2025-02-09 1.558548 1.982972 2.625390 3.795311 6.331381 14.222780 226.693142
2025-02-16 1.495505 1.910384 2.543724 3.712770 6.311513 14.916439 804.930090
2025-02-23 1.443081 1.851433 2.480625 3.659404 6.354983 15.961712 NaN
2025-03-02 1.397904 1.801439 2.429160 3.623468 6.437793 17.333164 NaN
2025-03-09 1.372971 1.781297 2.425822 3.681915 6.787747 20.681311 NaN
2025-03-16 1.317292 1.710978 2.333909 3.552850 6.591904 20.552945 NaN
2025-03-23 1.290914 1.685431 2.316775 3.575817 6.841249 24.002591 NaN